Summary answer: Arlington's median sale price is running roughly $818,000–$857,000 over recent 3-month windows in 2026, depending on the exact data source and time period measured — up modestly year-over-year overall, though that blended figure hides a real split between a strongly appreciating single-family market and a condo market still recovering from a 2025 pullback.
I'm Johnny with JQ Real Estate. Let me break down what's actually behind that headline number.
Recent median sale price by data source
| Source / Period | Median Sale Price | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|
| Redfin, 3 months ending June 2026 (city) | $857,000 | +7.8% |
| Redfin, 3 months ending May 2026 (county) | $818,000 | +2.3% |
| Movoto, April 2026 | $765,000 | — |
| Zillow Home Value Index (all types, current) | $824,859 | -0.6% |
Why these numbers don't all match
Different sources measure different things — some track median sale price for a specific time window, others track a broader home value index across all property types, and city-level versus county-level boundaries can shift the number too. None of these is "wrong," they're just measuring slightly different slices of the same market. This is exactly why a single average shouldn't be your only reference point when pricing your own home.
The number that actually matters more: your segment specifically
Every one of these averages blends single-family homes (appreciating, up 3.8% projected for 2026) with condos (still recovering from a 7.4% decline in 2025). Your home's realistic sale price depends far more on which of those two markets it belongs to than on any county-wide median.
What's driving the overall trend this year
- Structural land scarcity — keeps single-family prices climbing regardless of broader market noise
- Condo market stabilization — after a real correction, the segment appears to be finding its footing rather than continuing to decline
- Inventory growth — up significantly in both segments, giving buyers more choice and making accurate pricing more important than in recent tighter years
What this means for pricing your specific home
Anchor to comparable sales for your exact property type and neighborhood, not the county-wide average — the gap between segments is wide enough right now that using the wrong reference point could mean a meaningfully mispriced listing.
Get your home's actual number
I'll pull real, current comparable sales specific to your property type and neighborhood rather than relying on a blended average. Reach out and let's get you an accurate read before you decide anything.