Summary answer: Given the City of Fairfax's genuinely flat recent price trend in the city's own 12-month data, waiting for rates carries relatively low price-risk here — though the market's "very competitive" rating means good inventory doesn't necessarily wait for you.

I'm Johnny with JQ Real Estate. Here's how to think through the actual math.

The trade-off, run through real numbers

Scenario Rate Price Assumption
Buy now ~6.65% Today's price
Wait 12 months Possibly somewhat lower Genuinely uncertain given conflicting data

What you can do regardless of which way rates move

  1. Buy now with a plan to refinance later

Let's run your actual numbers

Reach out and let's walk through the real trade-off for your specific target price.

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