Summary answer: Bailey's Crossroads' data genuinely varies — one measure showed the median up 7% year-over-year, while others showed declines of 2-11.1%, reflecting real month-to-month and segment volatility. Given this genuine variance, checking real, recent comparables matters more than a single percentage.

I'm Johnny with JQ Real Estate. Let me explain why the right number depends on the specific listing.

What the data actually shows

Measure Reading
Redfin (Jul 2026) $379,310, -4.6% YoY
Redfin (Dec 2025) $340,000, -11.1% YoY
Homes.com (12-mo avg) $400,000, +7% YoY

How to figure out the real target number

  1. Pull actual recent comparable sales
  2. Check days on market and price history

Get a real number before you write your offer

Reach out and let's figure out the right number for your specific target.

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